Upcoming FTG Events
08
Jun
Summer FTG Conference 2026
From: June 8, 2026 - To: June 9, 2026
INSEAD, France
The 2026 FTG Summer Conference will be hosted by INSEAD on June 8-9, 2026. The meeting will commence...
12
Jun
3rd "Bridging Theory and Empirical Research in Finance" conference
From: June 12, 2026 - To: June 13, 2026
Boston College
The goal of this special FTG conference, hosted by Boston College, is to bridge theory and empirical research...
25
Sep
35th Meeting at Carnegie Mellon University (Fall 2026)
Featured Papers
We study how information technology (IT) affects lender competition, entrepreneurs’ investment, and welfare in a spatial model. The effects of an IT improvement depend on whether it weakens the influence of lender–borrower distance on monitoring costs. If it does, it has a hump-shaped effect on entrepreneurs’ investment and social welfare....
How do resolution frameworks affect the private restructuring of distressed banks? We model a bank’s shareholders and creditors negotiating a restructuring, under two frictions: asymmetric information about asset quality, and externalities on the government. High-quality banks signal themselves by delaying the negotiation, which is socially inefficient. Public policies can improve welfare...
Why do individuals interpret the same information differently? We propose that individuals follow Bayes' Rule when forming posteriors with one exception: when assessing the credibility of signal sources, they "double-dip" the data and use already updated beliefs instead of their priors. Individuals who make this mistake either over- or underreact to new...
Finance Theory Insights
Finance Theory Insights
Issue 9
Unintended Equilibrium Consequences: Sometimes It’s a Whack-a-Mole Game
This issue of FTG Insights show that financial regulation and innovation often reshape incentives and constraints in ways that generate powerful equilibrium feedback effects. Specifically, mechanisms intended to promote stability, inclusion, or safety can improve outcomes along one dimension while simultaneously creating new vulnerabilities elsewhere in the financial system.
The first two columns explore how new financial frictions emerge when technology and regulation reshape the balance sheets of intermediaries. “When the Marketplace Becomes the Lender” examines the rapid rise of bigtech lending platforms, showing that their close integration with merchants’ marketplace activity gives them a powerful enforcement advantage over traditional banks. While this expands credit access for underserved borrowers, it also induces adverse selection in bank lending and can perversely lead banks to ration credit for intermediate-risk firms. “When Deposits Become a Burden” studies a parallel tension within the banking sector itself. Deposits are traditionally viewed as cheap and stable funding, yet when equity capital is scarce and leverage constraints bind, abundant deposits can become a liability rather than an asset. Banks may respond by cutting lending, hoarding safe assets, or reducing deposit rates, helping explain why deposit inflows during the pandemic coincided with weaker credit expansion. Together, these two columns highlight a broader lesson: financial innovations and regulatory constraints often generate unintended equilibrium effects, where mechanisms that improve access to funding in one dimension can tighten credit conditions in another.
The last two columns focus on how regulation and market design can produce unintended consequences in financial markets. “Are Stress Tests Actually Useful?” argues that the value of stress tests depends critically on what regulators plan to do with the information they reveal. If regulators can only impose broad capital requirements, even carefully designed stress scenarios add relatively little value. But when supervisors can intervene in targeted ways (by restricting specific exposures or by directing some banks to reduce risk), the design of stress scenarios becomes central to effective regulation. “Safe Assets but Fragile Markets” is inspired by the turmoil in the U.S. Treasury market during March 2020, when Treasuries unexpectedly experienced a “dash for cash.” The column shows how post-crisis regulations that constrained dealer balance sheets transformed the market structure for safe assets, making Treasury markets vulnerable to self-fulfilling runs. Ironically, the same flight-to-safety behavior that traditionally stabilizes markets can, in sufficiently fragile environments, trigger destabilizing fire sales instead.
News
May 9, 2026
2026 Best JMP Prize Winners
We are pleased to announce the recipients of the 2026 FTG Best Theory Job Market Paper Prize.Winner: Hanjoon...
April 14, 2026
2026 New Members
The FTG is pleased to welcome our new members:Alex Maciocco (UC Irvine → Indiana), Alexander Ober (Rice), Elu...
January 8, 2026
Announcing our 2026 FTG Fellows
The FTG is pleased to announce our 2026 Fellows: Lars Peter Hansen, Alessandro Pavan and Rick Green (in...