Optimal Integration: Human, Machine, and Generative AI

Hongda Zhong - Jan 18, 2025

Working Paper No.  00146-00

I study the optimal integration of humans and technologies in multi-layered decision-making processes. Each layer can correct existing errors but may also introduce new ones. A one-dimensional quality metric – a decision-maker’s error correction capability normalized by its new errors – determines the optimal rule: deploying higher-quality technologies in later stages. Interestingly, the final decision-making layer may not achieve the greatest error reduction; instead, its role hinges on minimizing new errors. Human effort varies asymmetrically across layers—early stages prioritize error correction with lower effort, while later stages emphasize avoiding new errors with higher effort. Applying the model to artificial intelligence (AI) reveals that AI’s generative capabilities make it more likely to serve as the final decision-maker, reducing the need for costly human input, but underscoring the risks of AI hallucination. The theoretical framework also extends to applications including repeated delegation, automation design, loan screening, tenure review, and other multi-layer decision-making scenarios.


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